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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Vale Park
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
1 - 3
Plymouth
Plant (3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Randell (34'), Edwards (38'), Azaz (61')
Azaz (81')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Port Vale and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 0-2 Plymouth Argyle

Port Vale have been devoid of confidence and any momentum in recent months, while their visitors have shone throughout the entire season and have their sights set on the title and the 100-point mark, and we see the Pilgrims scoring a relatively comfortable victory as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawPlymouth Argyle
32.47% (0.058 0.06) 26.26% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 41.27% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.65% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12% (-0.052 -0.05)51.88% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)73.63% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.010999999999996 0.01)29.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (0.013999999999996 0.01)66.08% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)24.82% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)59.41% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 32.47%
    Plymouth Argyle 41.27%
    Draw 26.26%
Port ValeDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.47%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 41.27%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Plymouth

Port Vale
15.8%
Draw
5.3%
Plymouth Argyle
78.9%
19
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Plymouth
0-2
Port Vale
Conlon (65'), Wilson (71')
Stevens (56')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
gameweek 8
Port Vale
1-0
Plymouth
Smith (76')
Gibbons (6')

Mayor (43'), Canavan (47')
Jan 14, 2014 7.45pm
Third Round
Plymouth
2-3
Port Vale
Gurrieri (2'), Hourihane (36')
Hugill (30'), Williamson (63'), Myrie-Williams (75')
Dickinson (13'), Lines (74'), Neal (90'), Loft (90')
Lines (80')
Jan 5, 2014 3pm
Third Round
Port Vale
2-2
Plymouth
Tomlin (15'), Pope (36')
Tomlin (19'), Robertson (65')
Reid (51'), Purrington (74')
Gurrieri (13')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
RMorecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827

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