The 2023 MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
53.91% ( 0) | 23.91% ( -0) | 22.18% |
Both teams to score 52% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.09% ( 0.01) | 48.9% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29% ( 0.01) | 70.99% ( -0) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.94% ( 0.01) | 18.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.04% ( 0.01) | 48.96% ( -0) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.46% ( 0) | 36.53% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.68% ( 0) | 73.32% |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 9.66% 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.51% 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.91% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.72% 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.78% Total : 22.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 24 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
8 | DC United | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 18 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 18 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 16 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
14 | Toronto | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
4 | Dallas | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 17 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 13 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |