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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 50.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.