Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.