Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.