Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.26%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for NEC had a probability of 14.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.