Heerenveen 1-1 NEC - Eredivisie - October 7, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

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Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Walemark (6')
Kohlert (16')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dost (45+2')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-3 Vitesse
Sunday, October 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heerenveen have looked very poor over the past few weeks, losing their last five games on the spin, but NEC have picked up just one point from their opening three away games. As such, we expect the hosts to stop the rot this weekend, which would be a huge relief for Van Wonderen considering his side have underperformed massively of late. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for NEC had a probability of 21.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	NEC
55.9% ( 0.16)	23.09% ( 0.1)	21.01% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 52.99% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.19% (

-0.75)

46.8% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.94% (

-0.71)

69.06% (

0.71)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.43% (

-0.21)

16.56% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.65% (

-0.38)

46.34% (

0.38)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.5% (

-0.69)

36.49% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.72% (

-0.7)

73.28% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 55.9%

NEC 21.01%

Draw 23.08%

Heerenveen	Draw	NEC
1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 55.9%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.08%	0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.01%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Nijmegen

Heerenveen

46.7%

Draw

26.7%

NEC

26.7%

Head to Head

May 6, 2023 7pm

Gameweek 31

2-3

Mattsson (37'), Dimata (61')

Haye (27'), Van Hooijdonk (82'), Colassin (87')

Sep 4, 2022 1.30pm

Gameweek 5

0-0

Feb 13, 2022 1.30pm

Gameweek 20

0-1

Haye (53'), van Hooijdonk (77'), Dresevic (82')

Tavsan (41')
Barreto (8'), van Rooij (73'), Schone (90+7')

Nov 6, 2021 5.45pm

Gameweek 11

1-1

Akman (53')

Veerman (72')

May 14, 2017 1.30pm

0-2