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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Cambuur
Emmen
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
NEC
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
Goffertstadion
Heerenveen
Nijmegen
2 - 3
Heerenveen
Mattsson (37'), Dimata (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Haye (27'), van Hooijdonk (82'), Colassin (87')
van Ottele (12'), van Ewijk (41')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Nijmegen
Tuesday, April 25 at 2pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-3 Emmen
Saturday, April 22 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 1-2 Heerenveen

Heerenveen have been let down by their home form this season, but the Super Frisians' results on their travels is the seven-best in the Eredivisie. NEC have conceded a goal in 13 of their 15 fixtures at Stadion de Goffert, and a run that has seen them claim one win in their last six home games is likely to extend to a sole victory in seven on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
NECDrawHeerenveen
42.37% (0.114 0.11) 24.52% (-0.029 -0.03) 33.11% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 58.73% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92% (0.105 0.1)44.08% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53% (0.1 0.1)66.47% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.1% (0.096999999999994 0.1)20.9% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.38% (0.15 0.15)53.62% (-0.148 -0.15)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25%25.75% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.68% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    NEC 42.37%
    Heerenveen 33.11%
    Draw 24.52%
NECDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 42.37%
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.52%
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.3% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.11%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Heerenveen

NEC
54.5%
Draw
18.2%
Heerenveen
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 1.30pm
Feb 13, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 20
Heerenveen
0-1
Nijmegen

Haye (53'), van Hooijdonk (77'), Dresevic (82')
Tavsan (41')
Barreto (8'), van Rooij (73'), Schone (90+7')
Nov 6, 2021 5.45pm
gameweek 11
Nijmegen
1-1
Heerenveen
Akman (53')
Veerman (72')
May 14, 2017 1.30pm
Heerenveen
0-2
Nijmegen

Schmidt (41')
Groeneveld (23'), Awoniyi (64')
von Haacke (28'), Messaoud (80')
Aug 20, 2016 7.45pm
Nijmegen
2-1
Heerenveen
Dumic (32'), Ofosu (59')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CFeyenoord34257281305182
2PSV EindhovenPSV34236589404975
3Ajax34209586384869
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34207768353367
5FC Twente341810666273964
6Sparta RotterdamSparta34178960372359
7FC UtrechtUtrecht34159105550554
8Heerenveen341210124450-646
9RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk34118155064-1441
10Vitesse341010144550-540
11Go Ahead Eagles341010144656-1040
12NECNijmegen34815114245-339
13Fortuna SittardSittard34106183962-2336
14FC VolendamVolendam34106184271-2936
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior3495203271-3932
16EmmenEmmen34610183365-3228
RCambuur3454252669-4319
RGroningen3446243175-4418

Real Madrid Until The End
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