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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Heerenveen |
48.57% | 26.07% | 25.36% |
Both teams to score 48.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.38% | 54.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.04% | 75.95% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.48% | 22.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.91% | 56.08% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.2% | 36.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.41% | 73.58% |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 12.35% 2-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.95% Total : 48.56% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.79% Total : 25.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 73 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
3 | Ajax | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 62 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 60 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 |
6 | FC Twente | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 52 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 45 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 38 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 38 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 32 |
13 | Vitesse | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 31 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 28 |
17 | Groningen | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 61 | -40 | 16 |
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