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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for NEC had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | NEC |
45.1% | 24.6% | 30.3% |
Both teams to score 57.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.45% | 45.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.12% | 67.88% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% | 20.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.35% | 52.65% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% | 28.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.04% | 63.96% |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 4.9% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.84% Total : 45.1% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-1 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 |
5 | FC Twente | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 58 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 38 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Vitesse | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 31 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 28 |
R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 |
R | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 |
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