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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
49.19% | 24.98% | 25.82% |
Both teams to score 52.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50% | 50% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.02% | 71.98% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.65% | 20.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.26% | 52.74% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.1% | 33.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.43% | 70.57% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 5.02% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.19% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.46% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 39 |
2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 38 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 35 |
4 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
5 | Ajax | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 33 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 27 |
8 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 22 |
10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 19 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 19 |
13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 19 |
14 | Vitesse | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 16 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
16 | Groningen | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 12 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 12 |
18 | Cambuur | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 28 | -19 | 9 |
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