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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 14.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-0 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
14.97% | 19.75% | 65.28% |
Both teams to score 52.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.04% | 41.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.63% | 64.37% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.39% | 40.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.79% | 77.2% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.93% | 12.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.41% | 37.58% |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
1-0 @ 4.42% 2-1 @ 4.21% 2-0 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.34% 3-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.75% Total : 14.97% | 1-1 @ 9.34% 0-0 @ 4.9% 2-2 @ 4.45% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.75% | 0-2 @ 10.95% 0-1 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-3 @ 7.72% 1-3 @ 6.96% 0-4 @ 4.08% 1-4 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.14% 0-5 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.66% 1-5 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.56% Total : 65.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |