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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.57%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 8.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 3-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.36%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | FC Twente |
79.57% | 12.36% | 8.07% |
Both teams to score 56.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.34% | 24.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.51% | 44.49% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.18% | 4.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.55% | 19.45% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.8% | 40.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.17% | 76.83% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | FC Twente |
3-0 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 8.92% 3-1 @ 8.22% 2-1 @ 8.13% 4-0 @ 6.84% 4-1 @ 6.23% 1-0 @ 5.88% 5-0 @ 4.15% 5-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 3.74% 4-2 @ 2.84% 6-0 @ 2.1% 6-1 @ 1.91% 5-2 @ 1.72% 7-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 5.21% Total : 79.57% | 1-1 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 3.7% 0-0 @ 1.94% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.22% Total : 12.36% | 1-2 @ 2.44% 0-1 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.74% Total : 8.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 41 |
3 | Ajax | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 40 |
4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 39 |
5 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 37 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
8 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 27 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 26 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 23 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Vitesse | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 20 |
14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 20 |
15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 17 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 16 |
17 | Groningen | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 13 |
18 | Cambuur | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 12 |
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