Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 76.1%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 9.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for a FC Krasnodar win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.