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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Ross County
Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Ross County
Lyons (36'), Armstrong (49' pen.), Vassell (78')
Taylor (62'), Vassell (69'), Lyons (75'), McKenzie (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dhanda (63' pen.)
Baldwin (26')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-3 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 3-3 St Johnstone
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Ross County

While Kilmarnock might have the home advantage in this match, it is the visitors that have got something to play for here and that in itself should give Ross County the edge in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawRoss County
52.55% (-0.532 -0.53) 24.7% (0.256 0.26) 22.75% (0.275 0.28)
Both teams to score 50.33% (-0.44 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.51% (-0.745 -0.74)51.49% (0.746 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71% (-0.655 -0.66)73.29% (0.654 0.65)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.499 -0.5)19.56% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (-0.82 -0.82)51.48% (0.819 0.82)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.57% (-0.159 -0.16)37.43% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.79% (-0.153 -0.15)74.21% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 52.54%
    Ross County 22.76%
    Draw 24.7%
KilmarnockDrawRoss County
1-0 @ 11.94% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.54%
1-1 @ 11.74% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.216 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.182 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.54% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 22.76%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
gameweek 23
Ross County
3-0
Kilmarnock
Brophy (13'), White (48'), Dhanda (63')
Callachan (38')

Vassell (78')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
gameweek 4
Ross County
1-0
Kilmarnock
Edwards (86')
Callachan (38'), Baldwin (62'), Cancola (78'), Johnson (90+4')
Callachan (81')

Lafferty (41'), Shaw (61'), Sotona (82'), Donnelly (88')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
gameweek 1
Kilmarnock
2-2
Ross County
Burke (3'), Pinnock (16')
McKenzie (30'), Lafferty (70'), Power (85')
Gardyne (5'), Iacovitti (54')
Tillson (15'), Naismith (30'), Vigurs (61')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
gameweek 31
Ross County
3-2
Kilmarnock
Mckay (38', 49'), Hjelde (47')
Tillson (63'), Lakin (69')
Lafferty (18', 77')
Millen (27'), Lafferty (33')
Millen (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CCeltic333021103257892
2RangersRangers33254481344779
3Aberdeen33172145252053
4Hearts33146135649748
5Hibernian33135154952-344
6St Mirren33128133849-1144
7Livingston33126153352-1942
8Motherwell33107164448-437
9St Johnstone3396183454-2033
RDundee UnitedDundee Utd3387183658-2231
11Kilmarnock3387182958-2931
12Ross County3376202852-2427

Real Madrid Until The End
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