Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Espanyol |
53.44% ( -5.01) | 25.09% ( 1.94) | 21.48% ( 3.07) |
Both teams to score 47.62% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.74% ( -3.75) | 54.25% ( 3.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.35% ( -3.23) | 75.65% ( 3.22) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% ( -3.3) | 20.29% ( 3.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.34% ( -5.55) | 52.65% ( 5.55) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.74% ( 1.17) | 40.25% ( -1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.12% ( 1.05) | 76.88% ( -1.06) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 13.02% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( -1.01) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.73) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.69) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.55) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.61% Total : 53.42% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.86) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 1.13) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 1.23) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.65) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.22) Other @ 1.3% Total : 21.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |