Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Valencia |
36.06% ( 0.02) | 28.82% ( -0.01) | 35.12% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 45.37% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.78% ( 0.02) | 61.22% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.84% ( 0.02) | 81.16% ( -0.01) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.66% ( 0.02) | 32.33% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.16% ( 0.02) | 68.84% ( -0.02) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.05% ( 0) | 32.95% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.47% ( 0) | 69.53% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 36.05% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.82% | 0-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |