Valencia are in need of a positive result following back-to-back defeats, and we are tipping Los Che to secure all three points here. Getafe have a lot of quality in the final third and are capable of avoiding defeat, but we are expecting the home side to emerge victorious in front of their own supporters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 49.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
-0.31) 
0.52) 
