Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 47.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Espanyol |
47.54% | 26.75% | 25.7% |
Both teams to score 47.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.1% | 56.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.19% | 77.81% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.04% | 23.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.81% | 58.19% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.24% | 37.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.47% | 74.53% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 12.92% 2-0 @ 9.23% 2-1 @ 8.99% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-1 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.53% Total : 47.54% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 9.05% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 8.81% 1-2 @ 6.13% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.66% Total : 25.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
19 | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |