Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 17.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Real Valladolid |
59.73% ( -0.15) | 22.29% ( 0) | 17.98% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 50.47% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.37% ( 0.2) | 47.63% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.17% ( 0.18) | 69.83% ( -0.19) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.44% ( 0.02) | 15.55% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.5% ( 0.03) | 44.49% ( -0.04) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.76% ( 0.28) | 40.23% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.13% ( 0.25) | 76.86% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 59.72% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |