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Almeria
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Cadiz logo
Celta Vigo logo
Elche
Espanyol logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Valencia logo
La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Real Valladolid logo
Valencia
2 - 1
Valladolid
Diakhaby (60'), Guerra (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Larin (6')
Perez (55'), Masip (57'), Hongla (66'), Fernandez (71')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elche 0-2 Valencia
Sunday, April 23 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Girona
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 0-0 Real Valladolid

Given that Real Valladolid have the third-worst offensive record in La Liga – and Valencia have the best defensive record in the bottom half – we expect the relegation rivals to play out a cagey stalemate at the Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Valladolid
59.73% (-0.148 -0.15) 22.29% (0.004999999999999 0) 17.98% (0.137 0.14)
Both teams to score 50.47% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.37% (0.197 0.2)47.63% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.17% (0.182 0.18)69.83% (-0.18700000000001 -0.19)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)15.55% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.5% (0.033999999999999 0.03)44.49% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (0.279 0.28)40.23% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (0.255 0.25)76.86% (-0.261 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 59.72%
    Real Valladolid 17.98%
    Draw 22.29%
ValenciaDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 10.83% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 59.72%
1-1 @ 10.6%
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.83% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 17.98%

How you voted: Valencia vs Valladolid

Valencia
60.0%
Draw
23.1%
Real Valladolid
16.9%
65
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 1pm
gameweek 19
Valladolid
1-0
Valencia
Larin (90')
Sanchez (45+2'), Aguado (56'), Mesa (69')

Almeida (13')
May 9, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 35
Valencia
3-0
Valladolid
Gomez (45+1', 48'), Correia (89')
Jan 10, 2021 8pm
gameweek 18
Valladolid
0-1
Valencia

Bruno (23'), Orellana (86')
Soler (76')
Soler (58'), Diakhaby (82'), Correia (90+5')
Jul 7, 2020 6.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 8pm
gameweek 18
Valladolid
1-1
Valencia
Guardiola (83')
Vallejo (94')
Soler (34'), Coquelin (81'), Parejo (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona37284569185188
2Real Madrid37245874353977
3Atletico MadridAtletico37237768313776
4Real Sociedad37208949341568
5Villarreal371961257381963
6Real BetisBetis37178124540559
7Osasuna37148153541-650
8Athletic Bilbao37148154642450
9GironaGirona371310145753449
10Rayo Vallecano371310144550-549
11Sevilla371310144652-649
12Mallorca37138163443-947
13Valencia37118184144-341
14CadizCadiz371011162952-2341
15Getafe371011163445-1141
16Almeria37117194662-1640
17Celta Vigo371010174152-1140
18Real ValladolidValladolid37116203363-3039
REspanyol37812174966-1736
RElcheElche3759232966-3724

Real Madrid Until The End
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