Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 1-2 (7%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (13.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Valencia |
33.77% ( -0.19) | 30.54% ( 0.37) | 35.69% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 40.71% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.22% ( -1.12) | 66.78% ( 1.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.88% ( -0.77) | 85.11% ( 0.76) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.14% ( -0.75) | 36.86% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.35% ( -0.75) | 73.65% ( 0.75) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.47% ( -0.73) | 35.53% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.7% ( -0.77) | 72.29% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.85% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.53% | 0-1 @ 13.55% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.09% Total : 35.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |