Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Valencia win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.