Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Madrid |
29.69% ( 0.1) | 26.34% ( 0.13) | 43.97% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.82% ( -0.46) | 53.18% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.25% ( -0.39) | 74.75% ( 0.39) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.43% ( -0.16) | 32.57% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.89% ( -0.18) | 69.11% ( 0.19) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.96% ( -0.31) | 24.05% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.69% ( -0.45) | 58.32% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.69% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 43.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |