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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Celta Vigo logo
Real Madrid
2 - 0
Celta Vigo
Asensio (42'), Militao (48')
Ceballos (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vazquez (19'), Galan (70')
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga contest with Celta Vigo.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga fixture against Celta Vigo.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 18 at 8pm in Champions League

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Mallorca
Monday, April 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 1-0 Celta Vigo

 Celta will certainly be the fresher of the two teams entering this match, and it could be a close affair at Bernabeu, with Ancelotti likely to make a number of changes to his side. However, Real Madrid should still be able to navigate their way to their 20th league victory of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
64.18% (-0.0089999999999861 -0.01) 19.59% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 16.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.91% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.38% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)38.62% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.08% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)60.92% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.62% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)11.38% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.89% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)36.11% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.09% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)36.91% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.3% (-0.058 -0.06)73.7% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 64.18%
    Celta Vigo 16.23%
    Draw 19.59%
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 7.16% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 64.18%
1-1 @ 9.1% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.2% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 4.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 16.23%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo

Real Madrid
87.9%
Draw
11.1%
Celta Vigo
1.0%
99
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 9pm
gameweek 2
Celta Vigo
1-4
Real Madrid
Aspas (23' pen.)
Tapia (13'), Mallo (85')
Benzema (14' pen.), Modric (41'), Junior (56'), Valverde (66')
Carvajal (65'), Alaba (68')
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 30
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Nolito (52')
Galan (36'), Galhardo (40'), Murillo (57')
Benzema (19' pen., 69')
Sep 12, 2021 8pm
gameweek 4
Real Madrid
5-2
Celta Vigo
Benzema (24', 46', 87' pen.), Junior (54'), Camavinga (72')
Nacho (32'), Junior (55')
Mina (4'), Cervi (31')
Murillo (43'), Araujo (63'), Solari (63')
Mar 20, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 28
Celta Vigo
1-3
Real Madrid
Mina (40')
Tapia (25'), Suarez (78'), Solari (85')
Benzema (20', 30'), Asensio (90+4')
Junior (22'), Kroos (39'), Nacho (70'), Modric (80')
Jan 2, 2021 8pm
gameweek 17
Real Madrid
2-0
Celta Vigo
Vazquez (6'), Asensio (53')
Asensio (38'), Nacho (50'), Carvajal (84'), Casemiro (87')

Mendez (10'), Tapia (42')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona37284569185188
2Real Madrid37245874353977
3Atletico MadridAtletico37237768313776
4Real Sociedad37208949341568
5Villarreal371961257381963
6Real BetisBetis37178124540559
7Osasuna37148153541-650
8Athletic Bilbao37148154642450
9GironaGirona371310145753449
10Rayo Vallecano371310144550-549
11Sevilla371310144652-649
12Mallorca37138163443-947
13Valencia37118184144-341
14CadizCadiz371011162952-2341
15Getafe371011163445-1141
16Almeria37117194662-1640
17Celta Vigo371010174152-1140
18Real ValladolidValladolid37116203363-3039
REspanyol37812174966-1736
RElcheElche3759232966-3724
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