Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Premier League
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Real Madrid |
51.54% ( -1.74) | 22.76% ( 0.8) | 25.69% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 59.93% ( -1.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
