Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 78.89%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 7.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.34%) and 1-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.