Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 10.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.44%) and 3-0 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Osasuna |
72.17% ( -0.5) | 17.78% ( 0.36) | 10.05% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 43.67% ( -0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.68% ( -1.14) | 45.32% ( 1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.35% ( -1.1) | 67.66% ( 1.1) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.84% ( -0.44) | 11.16% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.36% ( -0.98) | 35.64% ( 0.98) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.16% ( -0.44) | 50.85% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.76% ( -0.3) | 85.24% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Osasuna |
2-0 @ 13.64% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.38) 3-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.43% Total : 72.17% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.57% Total : 17.78% | 0-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 10.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |