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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Spotify Camp Nou
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona
1 - 0
Atletico
Torres (44')
Alonso (28'), Busquets (57'), Raphinha (77'), Gavi (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Griezmann (75'), Savic (79'), Gimenez (81'), Reguilon (83'), Barrios (83'), Morata (86'), Niguez (90+3'), Grbic (90+1')
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Barcelona
Sunday, April 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, April 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Barcelona 1-1 Atletico Madrid

 Unless something extraordinary happens, Barcelona are going to win the title this season, but Atletico will fancy their chances of avoiding defeat here. Simeone's side have been the best team in the division over the last few weeks, and we are therefore finding it very difficult to back them to lose on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 50.31%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
BarcelonaDrawAtletico Madrid
50.31% (0.253 0.25) 23.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 26.58% (-0.261 -0.26)
Both teams to score 59.57% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.81% (-0.25 -0.25)41.19% (0.25 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.42% (-0.255 -0.26)63.58% (0.254 0.25)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)16.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (-0.321 -0.32)28.64% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (-0.404 -0.4)64.45% (0.404 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 50.31%
    Atletico Madrid 26.58%
    Draw 23.11%
BarcelonaDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 50.31%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 26.58%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Atletico

Barcelona
55.1%
Draw
26.5%
Atletico Madrid
18.4%
136
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 8pm
gameweek 16
Atletico
0-1
Barcelona

Correa (79'), Molina (85')
Savic (90+2')
Dembele (22')
Araujo (56'), Christensen (82'), Raphinha (87')
Torres (90+2')
Feb 6, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 23
Barcelona
4-2
Atletico
Alba (10'), Gavi (21'), Araujo (43'), Alves (49')
Alba (52'), de Jong (72'), Gavi (83')
Alves (69')
Carrasco (8'), Suarez (58')
Wass (89'), Herrera (90')
Oct 2, 2021 8pm
gameweek 8
Atletico
2-0
Barcelona
Lemar (23'), Suarez (44')
De Paul (45+1'), Koke (78')

Gavi (20')
May 8, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 35
Barcelona
0-0
Atletico

Moriba (58'), Alba (82'), Pique (82')

Niguez (35'), Felipe (46'), Koke (65')
Nov 21, 2020 8pm
gameweek 10
Atletico
1-0
Barcelona
Carrasco (45+3')
Koke (9'), Carrasco (26'), Savic (79'), Gimenez (80')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona37284569185188
2Real Madrid37245874353977
3Atletico MadridAtletico37237768313776
4Real Sociedad37208949341568
5Villarreal371961257381963
6Real BetisBetis37178124540559
7Osasuna37148153541-650
8Athletic Bilbao37148154642450
9GironaGirona371310145753449
10Rayo Vallecano371310144550-549
11Sevilla371310144652-649
12Mallorca37138163443-947
13Valencia37118184144-341
14CadizCadiz371011162952-2341
15Getafe371011163445-1141
16Almeria37117194662-1640
17Celta Vigo371010174152-1140
18Real ValladolidValladolid37116203363-3039
REspanyol37812174966-1736
RElcheElche3759232966-3724
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