Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
21.39% ( 0.1) | 23.1% ( 0.07) | 55.51% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 53.5% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.6% ( -0.18) | 46.4% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.32% ( -0.17) | 68.68% ( 0.17) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.11% ( -0) | 35.89% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.33% ( -0) | 72.66% ( 0) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.44% ( -0.12) | 16.56% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.66% ( -0.22) | 46.33% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.39% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.9% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 55.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |