Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 81.21%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 6.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Almeria |
81.21% ( 0.01) | 12.2% ( 0.03) | 6.58% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.37% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.46% ( -0.38) | 30.53% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.17% ( -0.45) | 51.83% ( 0.45) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.3% ( -0.07) | 5.69% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.99% ( -0.21) | 22.01% ( 0.21) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.29% ( -0.41) | 48.7% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.25% ( -0.3) | 83.74% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Almeria |
2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 4.47% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.24% Total : 81.19% | 1-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.77% Total : 12.2% | 1-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 6.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |