Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Real Betis in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Betis.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Almeria |
53.45% ( 0.18) | 24.35% ( -0.08) | 22.2% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 50.67% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.32% ( 0.23) | 50.68% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.41% ( 0.2) | 72.58% ( -0.2) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% ( 0.15) | 18.9% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.61% ( 0.26) | 50.39% ( -0.26) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.48% ( 0.03) | 37.51% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.7% ( 0.03) | 74.29% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 53.45% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |