There is not an awful lot between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Mallorca have home advantage, but Almeria have shown positives early in the campaign, and we are backing the points to be shared in a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.
0.6) 
-0.55) 
