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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 16, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Barcelona logo
Real Madrid
3 - 1
Barcelona
Benzema (12'), Valverde (35'), Rodrygo (90+1' pen.)
Junior (30'), Modric (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Torres (83')
Gavi (81'), Kessie (90+2')
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up against Barcelona in Sunday's El Clasico.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Real Madrid.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shakhtar 1-1 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Real Madrid 1-1 Barcelona

Real Madrid will have had an extra day of recovery ahead of this match, which could be crucial, and Barcelona were involved in an energy-zapping contest with Inter during the week. Xavi's side are difficult to back against in the league at the moment, though, and we have a feeling that a tight match could end with the spoils being shared, which both managers would likely accept if that were offered ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
39.58% (-0.443 -0.44) 25.08% (-0.038 -0.04) 35.34% (0.482 0.48)
Both teams to score 57.32% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (0.248 0.25)46.16% (-0.247 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54% (0.234 0.23)68.45% (-0.232 -0.23)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (-0.113 -0.11)23.14% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99% (-0.169 -0.17)57.01% (0.17 0.17)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58% (0.39699999999999 0.4)25.42% (-0.396 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.76% (0.538 0.54)60.24% (-0.537 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 39.58%
    Barcelona 35.34%
    Draw 25.08%
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.071 0.07)
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.059 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.34%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Barcelona

Real Madrid
56.6%
Draw
15.3%
Barcelona
28.1%
491
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2022 4am
Mar 20, 2022 8pm
Real Madrid
0-4
Barcelona

Kroos (22'), Modric (63'), Camavinga (82'), Vazquez (88')
Aubameyang (29', 51'), Araujo (38'), Torres (47')
de Jong (26'), Busquets (31'), Alba (74'), Gonzalez (88')
Jan 12, 2022 7pm
Barcelona
2-3
Real Madrid
De Jong (41'), Fati (83')
Torres (23'), Alves (51')
Junior (25'), Benzema (72'), Valverde (98')
Casemiro (75'), Valverde (99')
Oct 24, 2021 3.15pm
Barcelona
1-2
Real Madrid
Aguero (90+7')
Pique (58')
Alaba (32'), Vazquez (90+3')
Mendy (80')
Apr 10, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-1
Barcelona
Benzema (13'), Kroos (28')
Nacho (69'), Casemiro (89')
Casemiro (90')
Mingueza (60')
Pedri (23'), Araujo (26'), Alba (84'), Koeman (85')
Build-up
Thibaut Courtois in action for Real Madrid on August 10, 2022
Carlo Ancelotti provides Thibaut Courtois fitness update
Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti says that Thibaut Courtois will definitely be available for the clash with Barcelona on October 16.
Oct 7, 18:29
Real Madrid's Antonio Rudiger receives medical attention after scoring the equaliser on October 11, 2022
Real Madrid's Antonio Rudiger 'could be available for El Clasico'
Antonio Rudiger could reportedly be available for Real Madrid's La Liga clash with Barcelona despite suffering a head injury in the Champions League.
Oct 12, 14:32
Barcelona's Ronald Araujo pictured in September 2022
Barcelona team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Real Madrid
Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Real Madrid.
Oct 13, 08:16
Thibaut Courtois in action for Real Madrid on August 10, 2022
Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Barcelona
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Barcelona.
Oct 13, 08:23
Thibaut Courtois in action for Real Madrid on August 10, 2022
Real Madrid's Thibaut Courtois 'a serious doubt for El Clasico'
Real Madrid goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois is a major doubt for Sunday's La Liga clash with Barcelona, according to a report.
Oct 13, 16:39
Jules Kounde is unveiled as a Barcelona player on August 1, 2022
Jules Kounde 'in line to start for Barcelona against Real Madrid'
Jules Kounde is set to make his Barcelona return in Sunday's La Liga contest with Real Madrid following a spell out with a hamstring issue.
Oct 13, 16:58
Karim Benzema in action for Real Madrid on October 5, 2022
Karim Benzema's record vs. Barcelona
Sports Mole looks at Karim Benzema's record against Barcelona ahead of Real Madrid's clash with the Catalan giants on Sunday afternoon.
Oct 13, 17:58
Real Madrid's Federico Valverde celebrates scoring against RB Leipzig on September 14, 2022
How Real Madrid could line up against Barcelona
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up against Barcelona in Sunday's El Clasico.
Oct 14, 18:34
Ansu Fati celebrates scoring for Barcelona on September 10, 2022
How Barcelona could line up against Real Madrid
Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up against Real Madrid in Sunday's El Clasico.
Oct 14, 18:35
Sergio Busquets in action for Barcelona on September 13, 2022
Sergio Busquets looking to equal El Clasico winning record
Sergio Busquets will aim to equal Francisco Gento's winning record in El Clasico fixtures when Barcelona face Real Madrid on Sunday.
Oct 15, 14:58
Thibaut Courtois in action for Real Madrid on August 10, 2022
Carlo Ancelotti provides update on Thibaut Courtois, Antonio Rudiger fitness ahead of El Clasico
Real Madrid will again be without the services of Thibaut Courtois for Sunday's La Liga clash with Barcelona at Bernabeu.
Oct 15, 15:40
Real Madrid defender Antonio Rudiger celebrates scoring against Mallorca on September 11, 2022
Real Madrid confirm squad for Sunday's El Clasico
Antonio Rudiger is in the Real Madrid squad for Sunday's El Clasico at home to Barcelona, but there is no spot for Thibaut Courtois due to his back injury.
Oct 15, 17:02
Barcelona manager Xavi pictured in September 2022
Xavi insists Barcelona "are on the right track"
Barcelona boss Xavi is confident that the Catalan side are heading in the right direction despite their European struggles this term.
Oct 15, 17:26
Barcelona centre-back Jules Kounde pictured on August 1, 2022
Jules Kounde back in Barcelona squad for El Clasico
Barcelona remain without the services of four first-team players against Real Madrid, but Jules Kounde is back for Sunday's El Clasico.
Oct 15, 17:46
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona37284569185188
2Real Madrid37245874353977
3Atletico MadridAtletico37237768313776
4Real Sociedad37208949341568
5Villarreal371961257381963
6Real BetisBetis37178124540559
7Osasuna37148153541-650
8Athletic Bilbao37148154642450
9GironaGirona371310145753449
10Rayo Vallecano371310144550-549
11Sevilla371310144652-649
12Mallorca37138163443-947
13Valencia37118184144-341
14CadizCadiz371011162952-2341
15Getafe371011163445-1141
16Almeria37117194662-1640
17Celta Vigo371010174152-1140
18Real ValladolidValladolid37116203363-3039
REspanyol37812174966-1736
RElcheElche3759232966-3724

Real Madrid Until The End
Ted Lasso creative

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