Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Elche | 4 | -8 | 1 |
19 | Getafe | 4 | -9 | 1 |
20 | Cadiz | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 4 | 7 | 12 |
2 | Barcelona | 4 | 10 | 10 |
3 | Villarreal | 4 | 9 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 11.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Barcelona |
11.91% ( -0.38) | 17.78% ( -0.38) | 70.3% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 50.26% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.91% ( 0.81) | 40.09% ( -0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.55% ( 0.83) | 62.45% ( -0.82) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.99% ( -0.1) | 44.01% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.86% ( -0.08) | 80.14% ( 0.08) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.78% ( 0.41) | 10.22% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.47% ( 0.93) | 33.53% ( -0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Barcelona |
1-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.23% Total : 11.91% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 17.78% | 0-2 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 8.9% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 7.3% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 5.07% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 4.16% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 2.31% ( 0.11) 1-5 @ 1.9% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.4% Total : 70.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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