Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.