Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.