Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Angers had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Angers win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Toulouse in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Toulouse.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Toulouse |
29.54% ( -0.49) | 24.53% ( -0.22) | 45.93% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 56.98% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.37% ( 0.73) | 45.63% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.05% ( 0.69) | 67.95% ( -0.7) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.19% ( 0.03) | 28.81% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.34% ( 0.04) | 64.66% ( -0.04) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.03% ( 0.6) | 19.97% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.87% ( 0.97) | 52.13% ( -0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.54% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |