A meeting of such importance between the bottom two clubs in Ligue 1 is likely to be a cagey affair, with the first goal absolutely vital in determining the outcome of the match.
The two sides know only a win will help their chances of survival, but the possibility of allowing their nearest relegation rival to gain three points will be unthinkable for both.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.2) 
0.33) 
