Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Angers had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Angers |
41.23% ( 0.12) | 26.98% ( 0.01) | 31.79% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 50.17% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.05% ( -0.06) | 54.95% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.77% ( -0.05) | 76.23% ( 0.06) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.76% ( 0.04) | 26.25% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.65% ( 0.04) | 61.35% ( -0.04) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( -0.12) | 31.98% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.56% ( -0.14) | 68.44% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |