Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brest in this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Troyes |
43.85% ( 0.06) | 24.01% ( -0.01) | 32.14% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 60.18% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.97% ( 0.02) | 42.03% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.57% ( 0.02) | 64.43% ( -0.02) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( 0.03) | 19.39% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.79% ( 0.06) | 51.2% ( -0.06) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% ( -0.03) | 25.34% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% ( -0.03) | 60.12% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Troyes |
2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 43.85% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |