Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.99%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Ajaccio |
41.99% ( -0.29) | 29.01% ( 0.08) | 29% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 43.4% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.07% ( -0.19) | 62.93% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.58% ( -0.14) | 82.42% ( 0.14) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.37% ( -0.25) | 29.63% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.33% ( -0.31) | 65.67% ( 0.31) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.67% ( 0.07) | 38.33% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.91% ( 0.06) | 75.09% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 13.81% 2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.44% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.99% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 28.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |