Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Troyes |
46.47% | 25.9% | 27.63% |
Both teams to score 51.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.53% | 52.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.86% | 74.14% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% | 22.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.85% | 56.14% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.24% | 33.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.58% | 70.42% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 8.44% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.46% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.27% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.34% Total : 27.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 68 | 28 | 40 | 66 |
2 | Marseille | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Lens | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 54 |
5 | Rennes | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 50 |
6 | Lille | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
7 | Nice | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 44 |
8 | Lorient | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 44 |
9 | Reims | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 43 |
10 | Lyon | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 36 |
12 | Toulouse | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 35 |
13 | Clermont | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 34 |
14 | NantesNantes | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 30 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 26 |
16 | Brest | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 24 |
17 | Auxerre | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 23 |
18 | Troyes | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 21 |
19 | Ajaccio | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 21 |
20 | Angers | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 10 |
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