Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Metz |
49.09% | 26.4% | 24.51% |
Both teams to score 47.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.56% | 56.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.55% | 77.45% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.95% | 23.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.13% | 56.88% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.44% | 38.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.69% | 75.31% |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 13.04% 2-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 9.12% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.73% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 8.47% 1-2 @ 5.92% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 90 | 36 | 54 | 86 |
2 | Marseille | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 71 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 69 |
4 | Rennes | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 82 | 40 | 42 | 66 |
5 | Nice | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 66 |
6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 63 |
7 | Lens | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 62 | 48 | 14 | 62 |
8 | Lyon | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 66 | 51 | 15 | 61 |
9 | NantesNantes | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 55 |
10 | Lille | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 55 |
11 | Brest | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 48 |
12 | Reims | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 43 |
14 | Angers | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 41 |
15 | Troyes | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
16 | Lorient | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 35 | 63 | -28 | 36 |
17 | Clermont | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 38 | 69 | -31 | 36 |
18 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 38 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 32 |
R | Metz | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 69 | -34 | 31 |
R | Bordeaux | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 52 | 91 | -39 | 31 |
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