Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka - J1 League - June 18, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Jun 18, 2022 at 10am UK at IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Nishizawa (7'), Thiago (41'), Kololli (85')
Katayama (48'), Thiago (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Yamagishi (80')
Grolli (13'), Juanma (29')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shimizu S-Pulse and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shimizu S-Pulse would win this match.

Result
Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
49.48% ( 3.51)	26.77% ( -1.71)	23.75% ( -1.8)

Both teams to score 45.55% (

2.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.69% (

4.47)

58.31% (

-4.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.07% (

3.38)

78.93% (

-3.37)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32% (

3.74)

23.68% (

-3.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.21% (

5.1)

57.79% (

-5.1)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.68% (

0.88)

40.32% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.06% (

0.79)

76.94% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse 49.48%

Avispa Fukuoka 23.75%

Draw 26.77%

Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.75% ( -0.86) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.61) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.68) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.7) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.36) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.39) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.39) Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.48%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.47) 0-0 @ 9.55% ( -1.74) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.37) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 8.67% ( -1.34) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.5) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.32% Total : 23.75%