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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Schalke
Dortmund
1 - 0
Schalke
Moukoko (79')
Modeste (45+3'), Adeyemi (83'), Can (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van den Berg (20'), Terodde (39')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Schalke 04

Last Six:
Last Game: Schalke 3-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 10 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Schalke 04

 Although the visitors should be fresher having not played in midweek, we expect Dortmund to have too much class in the Revierderby on Saturday. With Adeyemi and Malen back in the squad, Terzic has the ability to change things from the bench should things not be going his side's way, which is possible if Schalke's potentially defensive gameplan frustrates their rivals during the early stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawSchalke 04
61.55% (-0.444 -0.44) 19.69% (0.163 0.16) 18.76% (0.282 0.28)
Both teams to score 60.97% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.49% (-0.319 -0.32)34.51% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.56% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)56.44% (0.361 0.36)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.14% (-0.208 -0.21)10.86% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.04% (-0.464 -0.46)34.96% (0.463 0.46)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (0.089999999999989 0.09)31.6% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (0.103 0.1)68% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 61.55%
    Schalke 04 18.76%
    Draw 19.69%
Borussia DortmundDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.26% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.48% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.78% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 61.55%
1-1 @ 8.78% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.43% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.69%
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.064 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.95% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 18.76%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Schalke

Borussia Dortmund
88.5%
Draw
8.7%
Schalke 04
2.9%
104
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2021 5.30pm
Schalke
0-4
Dortmund

Hoppe (14'), Kolasinac (66')
Sancho (42'), Braut Haaland (45', 79'), Guerreiro (60')
Bellingham (63'), Dahoud (64')
Oct 24, 2020 5.30pm
Dortmund
3-0
Schalke
Akanji (55'), Braut Haaland (61'), Hummels (78')

Mascarell (13')
> Preview
May 16, 2020 2.30pm
Dortmund
4-0
Schalke
> Preview
Oct 26, 2019 2.30pm
Schalke
0-0
Dortmund
> Match Report
Apr 27, 2019 2.30pm
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Caligiuri (34'), Serdar (36'), Embolo (45'), McKennie (72'), Mascarell (89'), Rudy (89')
> Match Report
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
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