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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 3-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Schalke 04 |
65.68% | 18.18% | 16.14% |
Both teams to score 61.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.09% | 31.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.54% | 53.46% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.88% | 9.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.04% | 30.95% |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.2% | 32.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.63% | 69.36% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Schalke 04 |
2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 7.64% 1-0 @ 7.16% 3-0 @ 6.85% 4-1 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 4.26% 4-0 @ 4.1% 4-2 @ 2.55% 5-1 @ 2.19% 5-0 @ 1.97% 5-2 @ 1.22% 4-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 4.09% Total : 65.68% | 1-1 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 5.33% 0-0 @ 2.99% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.18% | 1-2 @ 4.45% 0-1 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-2 @ 1.86% 1-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.86% Total : 16.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 52 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 50 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 45 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Freiburg | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 42 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 36 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 34 |
9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 30 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 30 |
12 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Augsburg | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 27 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 22 |
15 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 21 |
16 | Stuttgart | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 20 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 20 |
18 | Hoffenheim | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 19 |
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