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J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 12, 2023 at 7am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium
Gamba Osaka
1 - 2
Hiroshima
Usami (70')
Lavi (31')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ben Khalifa (2'), Mitsuta (90+4' pen.)
Soteriou (19')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 4-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, March 4 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-1 Hiroshima
Friday, March 3 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
27% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 25.59% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 47.41% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.78% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.38% (0.155 0.16)51.62% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.59% (0.135 0.14)73.4% (-0.14 -0.14)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (0.045999999999992 0.05)33.8% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.53% (0.053000000000001 0.05)70.47% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22% (0.102 0.1)21.78% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.02% (0.16 0.16)54.97% (-0.164 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 27%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47.4%
    Draw 25.59%
Gamba OsakaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.33% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 27%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 11.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.28% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.55%
1-3 @ 4.71% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.35% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.66% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 47.4%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 11am
Hiroshima
5-2
Gamba Osaka
Ben Khalifa (11', 72', 76'), Mitsuta (82'), Matsumoto (88')
Pereira (2'), Saito (36')
Higashiguchi (48')
Jun 29, 2022 11am
Gamba Osaka
2-0
Hiroshima
Kurokawa (36'), Sakamoto (39')
Onose (78'), Kurata (90+3')
May 12, 2021 10am
Gamba Osaka
1-2
Hiroshima
Ichimi (44')
Sasaki (36'), Kawabe (65')
Sep 27, 2020 10am
Hiroshima
1-2
Gamba Osaka
Pereira (70')
Kurata (16'), Patric (20')
rhs 2.0
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