Sagan Tosu 2-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - J1 League - November 5, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
31.18% ( 0.02)	25.7%	43.12% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.05% (

0.01)

49.95% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.06% (

0.01)

71.94% (

-0.01)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.14% (

0.02)

29.86% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.05% (

0.02)

65.95% (

-0.02)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.95% (

-0)

23.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.12% (

-0)

56.88% (

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 31.18%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43.12%

Draw 25.69%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 8.32% 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 31.18%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.09% Total : 43.12%