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Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley
2 - 3
Scarborough Ath
Blakeman (3'), Sampson (20')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Weledji (10'), Greenfield (69', 77')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Scarborough Athletic.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chester 0-0 Chorley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-1 Curzon Ashton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawScarborough Athletic
45.35% (0.141 0.14) 25.79% (0.0010000000000012 0) 28.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 52.45% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.64% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)51.36% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.82% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)73.18% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (0.034999999999997 0.03)22.6% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (0.050000000000004 0.05)56.21% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (-0.146 -0.15)32.23% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (-0.167 -0.17)68.72% (0.16699999999999 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 45.34%
    Scarborough Athletic 28.86%
    Draw 25.78%
ChorleyDrawScarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 10.83% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.06% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 45.34%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 28.86%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Scarborough Ath
3-2
Chorley
Weledji (55'), Coulson (58'), Maloney (64')
Hall (71'), Ustabasi (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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