Curzon Ashton 2-1 Chorley - National League North - March 25, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon Ashton	Draw	Chorley
44.02%	25.3%	30.68%

Both teams to score 55.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.55%

48.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.42%

70.57%

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.01%

21.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.72%

55.28%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.55%

29.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.55%

65.44%

Score Analysis

Curzon Ashton 44.02%

Chorley 30.68%

Draw 25.29%

Curzon Ashton	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.02%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 7.91% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.68%